Group Stage - 1
Qatar
vs
07:00 PM UTC
Saturday, June 13
Switzerland
·
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
31%
Qatar
45%
Draw
24%
Switzerland
Model confidence:medium
Model Inputs
- Qatar: 0pts, 0 played
- Switzerland: 0pts, 0 played
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Market Probability Analysis6 sources
Qatar
Market: 10%Model: 31%
Draw
Market: 17%Model: 45%
Switzerland
Market: 73%Model: 24%
Market efficiency: 93%6 sources · Updated 04:38 PM
Implied Probability by Source
| Source | Qatar | Draw | Switzerland |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 10% | 19% | 71% |
| BetMGM | 11% | 17% | 71% |
| Pinnacle | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| Betfair | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| FanDuel | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| DraftKings | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| Our Model | 31% | 45% | 24% |
Model vs. Market Divergence
Switzerland
Market rates Switzerland 50% higher than our model
Largest divergence: FanDuel · Confidence: high
Draw
Our model rates Draw 29% higher than market consensus
Largest divergence: Betfair · Confidence: high
Qatar
Our model rates Qatar 22% higher than market consensus
Largest divergence: FanDuel · Confidence: high
Divergence signals indicate where our statistical model assigns different probability than the aggregate market. This is analytical data only.