Group Stage - 1
Ivory Coast
1–0
Full Time
Ecuador
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia· Ref: François Letexier, France
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
70%
Ivory Coast
8%
Draw
22%
Ecuador
Model confidence:medium
Model Inputs
- Ivory Coast: 3pts, 1 played
- Ecuador: 0pts, 1 played
- Ivory Coast form: W
- Ecuador form: L
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Match Statistics
Ivory CoastEcuador
1.52Expected Goals (xG)1.01
48%Possession52%
15 (4)Shots (on target)12 (1)
470 (84%)Passes (accuracy)492 (85%)
3Corners5
10Fouls13
3Yellow Cards1
1Saves3
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 15
Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador: Narrow Win Masks Even Contest
Ivory Coast's 1–0 victory over Ecuador at Lincoln Financial Field was decided by fine margins. xG levels (0.73–0.54) suggest either team could have won. World Cup 2026 Group Stage analysis.
527 words
Pre-MatchJun 12
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador: Balanced Opener Tests Group Stage Credentials
Ivory Coast and Ecuador open their World Cup 2026 campaigns in Philadelphia with equal chances. Our model favors neither side in this tactical chess match.
693 words