Group Stage - 1
Netherlands crest

Netherlands

2–2
Full Time
Japan crest

Japan

AT&T Stadium · Arlington· Ref: Ismail Elfath, USA

Win ProbabilityPre-match model

39%
Netherlands
24%
Draw
37%
Japan
Model confidence:medium

Model Inputs

  • Netherlands: 1pts, 1 played
  • Japan: 1pts, 1 played
  • Netherlands form: D
  • Japan form: D
  • H2H: 2 historical matches

Match Statistics

NetherlandsJapan
0.78Expected Goals (xG)0.59
60%Possession40%
10 (6)Shots (on target)10 (3)
524 (88%)Passes (accuracy)341 (84%)
5Corners4
7Fouls7
3Yellow Cards0
1Saves4
0Tackles0

Analysis & Intelligence

Data CrunchJun 14

Netherlands 2–2 Japan: Possession Mastered, Chances Squandered

Netherlands dominated possession but failed to convert superiority into victory. Statistical breakdown of a chaotic group-stage draw at World Cup 2026.

561 words

Pre-MatchJun 12

Netherlands vs Japan: Group Stage Opener in Texas

Netherlands face Japan in World Cup 2026 group play. Our model favours the Dutch at 45%, but Japan's recent form demands respect in Arlington.

670 words