Group Stage - 1
Belgium
1–1
Full Time
Egypt
Lumen Field · Seattle· Ref: Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
37%
Belgium
25%
Draw
38%
Egypt
Model confidence:medium
Model Inputs
- Belgium: 1pts, 1 played
- Egypt: 1pts, 1 played
- Belgium form: D
- Egypt form: D
- H2H: 3 historical matches
Match Statistics
BelgiumEgypt
1.35Expected Goals (xG)1.08
54%Possession46%
15 (3)Shots (on target)14 (3)
455 (86%)Passes (accuracy)398 (81%)
2Corners7
15Fouls15
2Yellow Cards2
2Saves3
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 15
Belgium 1–1 Egypt: Statistical Deadlock in Seattle
Belgium and Egypt share the spoils in a balanced group-stage opener. xG data reveals a coin-flip match where neither side deserved victory. World Cup 2026 analysis.
554 words
Pre-MatchJun 13
Belgium vs Egypt: Group Stage Opener Offers Contrasting Momentum
Belgium and Egypt clash in World Cup 2026's opening match. Our model gives both teams 37% win probability in a tactically complex Seattle encounter.
641 words