Group Stage - 1
Iran
2–2
Full Time
New Zealand
SoFi Stadium · Inglewood· Ref: César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
36%
Iran
24%
Draw
40%
New Zealand
Model confidence:medium
Model Inputs
- Iran: 1pts, 1 played
- New Zealand: 1pts, 1 played
- Iran form: D
- New Zealand form: D
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Match Statistics
IranNew Zealand
1.50Expected Goals (xG)1.24
49%Possession51%
17 (4)Shots (on target)14 (8)
409 (77%)Passes (accuracy)446 (84%)
4Corners1
10Fouls8
1Yellow Cards0
6Saves2
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 16
Iran 2–2 New Zealand: A Statistical Mirage in California
Iran and New Zealand drew 2-2 in World Cup 2026 group play. Despite identical xG, Iran's shot volume masked underlying control issues in Inglewood.
604 words
Pre-MatchJun 14
Iran and New Zealand Meet in Wide-Open Group Stage Opener
Iran faces New Zealand in World Cup 2026's group stage. Balanced odds and contrasting form shape this Inglewood clash between two unpredictable sides.
709 words