Group Stage - 1
France crest

France

vs
07:00 PM UTC
Tuesday, June 16
Senegal crest

Senegal

MetLife Stadium ·

Win ProbabilityPre-match model

65%
France
21%
Draw
14%
Senegal
Model confidence:high

Model Inputs

  • Market consensus (100% weight): 65% / 21% / 14%
  • France: 0pts, 0 played
  • Senegal: 0pts, 0 played

Market Probability Analysis6 sources

France
Market: 65%Model: 65%
Draw
Market: 21%Model: 21%
Senegal
Market: 14%Model: 14%
Market efficiency: 93%6 sources · Updated 05:30 PM

Implied Probability by Source

SourceFranceDrawSenegal
BetMGM64%22%15%
FanDuel66%21%13%
Pinnacle65%21%14%
Betfair68%19%14%
William Hill65%22%13%
DraftKings64%22%14%
Our Model65%21%14%