Group Stage - 1
Ghana crest

Ghana

1–0
Full Time
Panama crest

Panama

BMO Field · Toronto· Ref: Glenn Nyberg, Sweden

Win ProbabilityPre-match model

70%
Ghana
8%
Draw
22%
Panama
Model confidence:medium

Model Inputs

  • Ghana: 3pts, 1 played
  • Panama: 0pts, 1 played
  • Ghana form: W
  • Panama form: L
  • H2H: 1 historical matches

Match Statistics

GhanaPanama
1.31Expected Goals (xG)0.73
38%Possession62%
8 (2)Shots (on target)11 (4)
351 (83%)Passes (accuracy)583 (86%)
2Corners2
9Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
4Saves2
0Tackles0

Analysis & Intelligence

Data CrunchJun 18

Ghana 1–0 Panama: Underdog Win Built on Defensive Ruthlessness

Ghana's 1–0 victory over Panama defied xG models that favored the losers. A clinical finish and defensive discipline secured three points in Toronto.

583 words

Pre-MatchJun 15

Ghana and Panama Open Group Stage in Toronto Stalemate

Ghana faces Panama in World Cup 2026 group play at BMO Field. Our model gives both teams 37% win probability in this evenly matched opener.

725 words