Group Stage - 2
Mexico crest

Mexico

1–0
Full Time
South Korea crest

South Korea

Estadio Akron · Guadalajara· Ref: Gustavo Tejera, Uruguay

Win ProbabilityPre-match model

58%
Mexico
13%
Draw
29%
South Korea
Model confidence:medium

Model Inputs

  • Mexico: 6pts, 2 played
  • South Korea: 3pts, 2 played
  • Mexico form: WW
  • South Korea form: LW
  • H2H: 4 historical matches
  • Mexico host nation advantage

Match Statistics

MexicoSouth Korea
0.48Expected Goals (xG)0.69
42%Possession58%
8 (4)Shots (on target)9 (2)
429 (82%)Passes (accuracy)579 (84%)
0Corners2
9Fouls7
0Yellow Cards2
2Saves3
0Tackles0

Analysis & Intelligence

Data CrunchJun 19

Mexico 1–0 South Korea: Efficiency Trumps Dominance in Guadalajara

Mexico's 1–0 victory over South Korea defied xG expectations in World Cup 2026 Group Stage. Analysis reveals clinical finishing despite possession disadvantage.

561 words

Pre-MatchJun 17

Mexico vs South Korea: Group Stage Decider in Guadalajara

Mexico and South Korea meet in World Cup 2026 Group Stage Round 2. Both teams sit on 3pts; our model gives Mexico 42% win probability in this tactical battle.

706 words