Group Stage - 2
Jordan
vs
03:00 AM UTC
Tuesday, June 23
Algeria
·
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
25%
Jordan
28%
Draw
47%
Algeria
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Market consensus (100% weight): 25% / 29% / 47%
- Jordan: 0pts, 0 played
- Algeria: 0pts, 0 played
Market Probability Analysis2 sources
Jordan
Market: 25%Model: 25%
Draw
Market: 29%Model: 28%
Algeria
Market: 47%Model: 47%
Market efficiency: 50%2 sources · Updated 05:28 PM
Implied Probability by Source
| Source | Jordan | Draw | Algeria |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 16% | 23% | 61% |
| Betfair | 34% | 34% | 32% |
| Our Model | 25% | 28% | 47% |
Model vs. Market Divergence
Algeria
Market rates Algeria 15% higher than our model
Largest divergence: FanDuel · Confidence: high
Jordan
Market rates Jordan 9% higher than our model
Largest divergence: Betfair · Confidence: medium
Draw
Market rates Draw 6% higher than our model
Largest divergence: Betfair · Confidence: medium
Divergence signals indicate where our statistical model assigns different probability than the aggregate market. This is analytical data only.