Group Stage - 1
South Korea
vs
02:00 AM UTC
Friday, June 12
Czech Republic
Estadio Akron · Zapopan
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
25%
South Korea
51%
Draw
24%
Czech Republic
Model confidence:medium
Model Inputs
- South Korea: 0pts, 0 played
- Czech Republic: 0pts, 0 played
Market Probability Analysis6 sources
South Korea
Market: 36%Model: 25%
Draw
Market: 30%Model: 51%
Czech Republic
Market: 34%Model: 25%
Market efficiency: 94%6 sources · Updated 04:38 PM
Implied Probability by Source
| Source | South Korea | Draw | Czech Republic |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Betfair | 36% | 31% | 34% |
| BetMGM | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Pinnacle | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| William Hill | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| DraftKings | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Our Model | 25% | 51% | 25% |
Model vs. Market Divergence
Draw
Our model rates Draw 22% higher than market consensus
Largest divergence: William Hill · Confidence: high
South Korea
Market rates South Korea 12% higher than our model
Largest divergence: William Hill · Confidence: high
Czech Republic
Market rates Czech Republic 11% higher than our model
Largest divergence: DraftKings · Confidence: high
Divergence signals indicate where our statistical model assigns different probability than the aggregate market. This is analytical data only.