Group Stage - 1
Sweden
5–1
Full Time
Tunisia
Estadio BBVA · Monterrey· Ref: Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
71%
Sweden
8%
Draw
21%
Tunisia
Model confidence:medium
Model Inputs
- Sweden: 3pts, 1 played
- Tunisia: 0pts, 1 played
- Sweden form: W
- Tunisia form: L
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Match Statistics
SwedenTunisia
1.33Expected Goals (xG)0.28
49%Possession51%
13 (7)Shots (on target)6 (2)
356 (78%)Passes (accuracy)371 (79%)
4Corners2
10Fouls8
0Yellow Cards1
1Saves1
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 15
Sweden 5–1 Tunisia: xG Tells a Story of Dominance, Not Fortune
Sweden's 5–1 victory over Tunisia was backed by superior expected goals (1.26 vs 0.20). Data analysis reveals a deserved win with one critical statistical outlier.
590 words
Pre-MatchJun 13
Sweden and Tunisia Open 2026 Campaign in Mexico
Sweden faces Tunisia in Group Stage opener at Estadio BBVA. Our model rates both sides at 37% win probability in World Cup 2026 matchup.
716 words