Group Stage - 2
Switzerland
vs
07:00 PM UTC
Thursday, June 18
Bosnia & Herzegovina
SoFi Stadium ·
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
45%
Switzerland
29%
Draw
26%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Market consensus (100% weight): 45% / 29% / 26%
- Switzerland: 0pts, 0 played
- Bosnia & Herzegovina: 0pts, 0 played
Market Probability Analysis2 sources
Switzerland
Market: 45%Model: 45%
Draw
Market: 29%Model: 29%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Market: 26%Model: 26%
Market efficiency: 51%2 sources · Updated 05:28 PM
Implied Probability by Source
| Source | Switzerland | Draw | Bosnia & Herzegovina |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Betfair | 32% | 35% | 33% |
| Our Model | 45% | 29% | 26% |
Model vs. Market Divergence
Switzerland
Our model rates Switzerland 13% higher than market consensus
Largest divergence: Betfair · Confidence: high
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Market rates Bosnia & Herzegovina 8% higher than our model
Largest divergence: Betfair · Confidence: medium
Draw
Our model rates Draw 6% higher than market consensus
Largest divergence: FanDuel · Confidence: medium
Divergence signals indicate where our statistical model assigns different probability than the aggregate market. This is analytical data only.