Group Stage - 2
Netherlands
5–1
Full Time
Sweden
NRG Stadium · Houston· Ref: Michael Oliver, England
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
32%
Netherlands
16%
Draw
52%
Sweden
Model confidence:medium
Model Inputs
- Netherlands: 1pts, 1 played
- Sweden: 3pts, 1 played
- Netherlands form: D
- Sweden form: W
- H2H: 3 historical matches
Match Statistics
NetherlandsSweden
2.47Expected Goals (xG)0.98
51%Possession49%
10 (7)Shots (on target)16 (8)
450 (88%)Passes (accuracy)424 (85%)
2Corners5
9Fouls12
0Yellow Cards3
7Saves2
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 20
Netherlands 5–1 Sweden: xG told the story data predicted
Netherlands dominated expected goals in their 5–1 World Cup 2026 group win over Sweden. Statistical breakdown of a result that matched the underlying data.
574 words
Pre-MatchJun 18
Netherlands Faces Uphill Task Against Resurgent Sweden
Netherlands seeks points against Sweden in Group Stage Round 2 at World Cup 2026. Sweden enters as favorites after demolishing Tunisia 5-1.
666 words