Round of 16
Switzerland
vs
08:00 PM UTC
Tuesday, July 7
Colombia
·
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
32%
Switzerland
28%
Draw
40%
Colombia
Model confidence:medium
Model Inputs
- Market consensus (50% weight): 28% / 30% / 43%
- Switzerland: 7pts, 3 played
- Colombia: 7pts, 3 played
- Switzerland form: WWWD
- Colombia form: WDWW
Market Probability Analysis6 sources
Switzerland
Market: 28%Model: 32%
Draw
Market: 30%Model: 28%
Colombia
Market: 43%Model: 40%
Market efficiency: 95%6 sources · Updated 08:51 AM
Implied Probability by Source
| Source | Switzerland | Draw | Colombia |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 28% | 29% | 43% |
| Pinnacle | 27% | 30% | 43% |
| BetMGM | 28% | 29% | 43% |
| Betfair | 27% | 30% | 43% |
| William Hill | 27% | 30% | 43% |
| DraftKings | 28% | 29% | 42% |
| Our Model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
Model vs. Market Divergence
Switzerland
Our model rates Switzerland 5% higher than market consensus
Largest divergence: Betfair · Confidence: medium
Colombia
Market rates Colombia 3% higher than our model
Largest divergence: FanDuel · Confidence: low
Divergence signals indicate where our statistical model assigns different probability than the aggregate market. This is analytical data only.